Odaily Planet Daily report: Data from the prediction market platform Polymarket shows that the probability of the CLARITY Act being enacted and signed by the president by 2026 is 15%, with related contract trading volume reaching approximately $11.62 million. Kalshi data indicates that the probability of the CLARITY Act or another qualifying cryptocurrency market structure bill becoming law by July 1, 2027, is 30%, and by January 1, 2028, it is 50%.
On September 2, U.S. House Financial Services Committee Chairman French Hill, during a hearing, listed the House’s passage of the CLARITY Act as a committee achievement and stated that Republican committee members are pushing to codify these reforms into law to ensure long-term and predictable financial regulations.
The U.S. Senate schedule indicates that the motion to end debate on H.R. 3633 will earliest enter the voting stage on September 15 at 2:15 p.m., typically requiring 60 votes. The Senate Banking Committee advanced the bill on May 14 with a vote of 15 in favor and 9 against; subsequent revisions address regulatory authority of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), consumer protection, illicit finance, DeFi, intermediary regulation, and disclosure requirements. (Bitcoin.com News)