Bitcoin’s realized volatility over the past year has dropped to 43%, below the 10-year and 5-year averages, according to Grayscale/Bloomberg data as of October 6, 2026. This level is lower than the 10-year average of 64% and the 5-year average of 81%. Currently, Bitcoin’s volatility is even lower than that of 19% of the components in the S&P 500 index.
As market liquidity improves, institutional participation increases, and regulatory frameworks gradually mature, Bitcoin is becoming more established. For traditional investors, its price volatility characteristics are beginning to resemble those of stocks such as Oracle and Coinbase.
However, it is important to note that volatility approaching that of stocks does not mean Bitcoin’s downside risk has disappeared, nor does it guarantee that its future price fluctuations will necessarily decrease further.
Bitcoin's realized volatility has dropped to 43% over the past year, below both 5-year and 10-year averages.
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Summary
Bitcoin’s realized volatility has fallen to 43% over the past year as of October 6, 2026, according to Grayscale/Bloomberg data. This is below the 10-year average of 64% and the 5-year average of 81%. Bitcoin’s market volatility is now lower than that of 19% of S&P 500 components. Improved liquidity, institutional buying, and clearer regulations are driving Bitcoin toward maturity. However, lower volatility does not eliminate downside risks.
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