Ansem: Strong altcoins will emerge in a bull market, continuously seeking excess returns.

Huo Xing Finance reports that on October 4, crypto trader Ansem posted that frequently monitoring the market and making price trend decisions based on 15-minute K-lines can lead to overtrading. Investors should separately manage their spot, perpetual futures, and on-chain high-risk trading accounts, and avoid attempting to capture every local top and bottom, as this may harm long-term investment returns. Instead of frequent trading, investors should study historical bull markets and observe how long upward trends typically last. Altcoin bull cycles tend to move faster, often outperforming the broader market for 4 to 6 months before new market leaders emerge—particularly after achieving 10x or greater market cap growth. However, this cycle may feature a few exceptions: some altcoins are experiencing significant revenue growth alongside price increases, potentially leading to concurrent fundamental improvements. In past cycles, altcoins typically peaked due to shifting market attention and fading momentum. But if this cycle sees material changes in metrics such as revenue for certain projects, institutional capital may continue buying aggressively—investors must adjust their assessments based on new information. In the previous cycle, Bitcoin bottomed in January 2023 and peaked in October 2025, with the upward trend lasting approximately 33 months. If this cycle has already bottomed in July, it is currently only in its fourth month. Ansem believes that within this longer-term bull market, multiple “mini-bulls” led by specific altcoins will emerge. Investors should identify these阶段性 strong assets and continuously reinvest profits into top-performing assets, gradually transforming short-term winners into long-term holdings.