Alphabet shares drop over 12% after Q3 earnings, market value falls nearly $500 billion

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Alphabet shares dropped more than 12% to $285 on October 31 following Q3 earnings, wiping out nearly $500 billion in market value. On-chain data reveals a sharp shift in investor sentiment after earnings per share missed forecasts. While Google Cloud revenue increased 103% year-over-year, on-chain analysis highlights concerns regarding free cash flow and AI-related spending. Analyst Mike Khouw noted that the core business remains strong, but downgraded ratings and weak technical indicators could delay a rebound. He recommended a short strangle options strategy to manage anticipated volatility.

Huo Xing Cai Jing reports that on October 31, according to CNBC, Alphabet, Google’s parent company, saw its stock price drop more than 12% to $285 following the release of its third-quarter earnings, resulting in a market capitalization loss of nearly $500 billion. Despite Google Cloud revenue increasing 103% year-over-year, the market remained focused on earnings per share falling short of expectations and negative free cash flow amid continued investment in AI infrastructure. Mike Khouw, in a CNBC column, stated that Alphabet’s core business fundamentals remain intact, but short-term rapid recovery faces two headwinds. First, multiple institutions have lowered their ratings, price targets, or future earnings forecasts. He noted that historically, stocks facing concentrated downgrades tend to underperform the market or trade sideways over the subsequent 30 days, and institutional portfolio rebalancing can further constrain upward momentum. Second, the post-earnings gap-down has further damaged the technical structure. Technically, Alphabet’s RSI has fallen to around 20, and the MACD has strengthened its sell signal. However, Khouw believes that the stock’s proximity to its 52-week low of $270.70, combined with extreme oversold conditions, may limit further downside. For trading strategy, Khouw recommends using a short strangle options strategy to hedge against anticipated range-bound trading. He notes that continued broad market selling remains the primary downside risk, while an unexpected positive catalyst driving a rapid price surge could threaten the strategy’s short call position.

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