AI-driven stock sell-off may benefit small-cap stocks amid reduced funding costs

icon智通财经
Share
AI summary iconSummary
According to Zhi Tong Finance, Richard Bernstein of Janus Henderson said the AI stock sell-off could ease funding rates, benefiting small-cap stocks. A key chip ETF dropped nearly 14% from its October high last week. Bernstein called it a healthy correction, noting that capital had flowed into AI data centers, straining other sectors. Macro indicators show CDS spreads widening and chip stocks falling for eight consecutive days—the longest streak since 2008. He dismissed the possibility of just one Fed rate hike, citing the 0.25-point increase on September 16, 2026. Core import prices rose faster than core consumer prices, reversing a 30-year trend. Consumer goods held up slightly, while most U.S. stocks remain in a bear market. The median component of the S&P 500 is down 16% from its peak. Bernstein said long-term trends will persist despite recent volatility.

According to Woofun AI, Richard Bernstein, Head of Macroeconomic Strategy at Janus Henderson, suggested that the sell-off in AI-related stocks could create a favorable environment for small-cap stocks by lowering overall financing costs.

Last Thursday, a key semiconductor ETF fell nearly 14% from its October high, triggering market alerts. Bernstein told CNBC that this represents a healthy repricing of asset values. Funds had previously flooded into AI data centers, leaving other companies short on capital; if valuations adjust, the cost of financing for the economy will decline.

Woofun AI's compiled data shows that, despite small-cap stocks rising over the past few trading days, their overall performance this week remains negative. Credit default swap (CDS) spreads reflect concerns about profitability, and chip stocks have fallen for eight consecutive trading days—the longest such streak since 2008.

Bernstein challenges the expectation of only one Fed rate hike. On September 16, 2026, the Fed raised rates by 0.25 percentage points, the first increase since July 2023. He noted that consumer prices, producer prices, and import prices remain elevated, with core import price growth outpacing core consumer price growth—a reversal of a 30-year trend—indicating that the U.S. is importing inflation. Consumer goods sectors have performed slightly better, but market concerns over recession are growing.

Peter Schiff believes most U.S. stocks are in a bear market. According to Goldman Sachs (GS.US), the median S&P 500 component is down approximately 16% from its peak. Bernstein acknowledges that market weakness negatively impacts the chip and technology sectors, but the long-term outlook is not entirely constrained by the dominant factors of the past two to three years.


Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.