In accordance with ChainCatcher, Jake O, Wintermute's head of OTC, noted that most institutional trading desks will remain on the sidelines before January 1, waiting for traders to reset and focus on upcoming catalysts. Key 2026 events include the announcement of the next U.S. Federal Reserve Chair, Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, the Clarity Act entering revision, SLR regulatory updates, MSCI's decision on crypto-related stock index inclusion (on the 15th), FOMC rate decision (on the 28th), and U.S. government funding deadline (on the 30th). These events follow the end of tax-loss selling, large-scale options expirations, and a buildup of bearish positions.
2026 Key Macro and Regulatory Events Expected to Drive Crypto Market Catalysts
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Summary
On-chain data shows institutional trading desks are likely to stay sidelined before January 1 as traders reset ahead of key 2026 catalysts. Jake O of Wintermute highlighted events including the next U.S. Federal Reserve Chair announcement, Supreme Court tariff ruling, Clarity Act revisions, SLR updates, MSCI’s crypto index decision on the 15th, FOMC rate decision on the 28th, and U.S. government funding deadline on the 30th. On-chain analysis indicates bearish positions have built up following tax-loss selling and large options expirations.
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