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2026 BTC Outlook: Three Scenarios and Survival Strategies Amid Market Volatility

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Bitcoin’s 2026 market outlook remains uncertain as BTC and ETH prices fall from October 2025 peaks. Three scenarios are in play: a deep bear market, a long consolidation phase, or an institutional-led bull run. Key risks include long-term holder selling, ETF flow shifts, and Fed policy. With fear and greed index signaling caution, 2026 may favor survival over gains. A sideways grind is most likely. Traders are advised to cut leverage, hold cash, and avoid speculative bets.
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