Will China Attack Taiwan In 2026? Crypto Bettors Are Not Convinced Even As Beijing Conducts Military Drills https://t.co/e331a1iBiK Despite China conducting live-fire military drills near Taiwan, cryptocurrency bettors see only a low probability of Beijing imposing a blockade on the self-ruled island in the near future. The odds of China imposing an aerial or naval blockade on Taiwan by June 2026 have decreased to 10% on Polymarket, down from 17% a month earlier. The probability of Beijing invading Taiwan by the end of 2026 is at 12%, with over $2 million wagered on the outcome. The prediction market has faced criticism for profiting from conflicts and wars but is making a comeback in the U.S. market. The recent military drills by China come after the U.S. approved an arms sale to Taiwan, leading to tensions between Washington and Beijing over the one-China principle. Despite not having a mutual defense treaty with Taiwan, the U.S. is committed to providing defense equipment to help the island maintain self-defense capabilities. $BTC , $POL . #stockmarketnews