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Fed Likely to Hold Rates in January (75.6% Probability): A Deep Dive Crypto Investor Analysis
I. The Core Macro Narrative Conflict: The "Arbitrage Window" of Expectation vs. Reality The market has largely priced in the expectation of no rate cut in January (75.6% probability), meaning that "maintaining current rates" itself is priced in and unlikely to trigger unexpected selling pressure. T...
The Deep Impact of MetaMask's Native Bitcoin Support on the EVM Ecosystem
MetaMask's formal announcement of native support for Bitcoin (BTC) is not just a breakthrough for its own product boundaries, but a significant move that has implications for the entire Web3 landscape, especially its traditional stronghold: the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) ecosystem. While this s...
Arbitrum (ARB) $19.7 Million Token Unlock Imminent—How Much Short-Term Price Pressure?
Arbitrum (ARB), the leading Ethereum Layer 2 solution, completed a scheduled large-scale token unlock on or around December 15 or 16, 2025, releasing approximately 92.65 million ARB tokens into the market, valued at around $19.7 million. Token unlocks are typically viewed as a "bearish" event for s...
Analysis of the Phenomenon: Why Warsh Overtook Hassett
The dramatic reversal in which Kevin Warsh surpassed Kevin Hassett as the frontrunner for the next Federal Reserve Chair is a complex outcome driven by a confluence of factors stemming from White House dynamics, Wall Street's influence, and concerns over Fed independence. Here is an analy...
Crypto Daily Market Report – December 16, 2025
AI Stocks Extend Selloff, Bitcoin Pulls Back in Tandem Summary Macro environment: Market expectations for the next Fed chair shifted as Jim Walsh’s nomination probability on Polymarket overtook Kevin Hassett’s, adding short-term uncertainty to monetary policy expectations. Ahead of th...
Firedancer Successfully Deployed: Can Solana Escape the "Single Point of Failure" Curse?
Following three years of intensive development, Firedancer, Solana's second independent validator client built by Jump Crypto, officially went live on the Solana mainnet in December 2024. This milestone marks Solana's first serious attempt to combat its most critical architectural bottleneck: relia...
Trust Wallet & Revolut: Zero-Fee Crypto Purchases Direct to Self-Custody Across Europe
The barrier to entry for Web3 just got significantly lower for millions of European users. Trust Wallet, a leading self-custody wallet, has announced a landmark partnership with European fintech giant Revolut, integrating the Revolut Pay payment system directly into its platform. This collaboration...
Sei Network (SEI) Token Unlock: Selling Pressure, FDV Analysis, and Investment Outlook
Executive Summary: Layer 1 rising star Sei Network completes a new token unlock round, valued at approximately $7.1 million. With market trading volume rebounding but price underperforming peers, investors should focus on its technological fundamentals and Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV). Breaking: S...
Fed Officials Speak Frequently: How Shifting Rate-Cut Expectations Impact Crypto
In recent weeks, frequent public comments from Federal Reserve officials have introduced renewed uncertainty into rate-cut expectations. Markets that once anticipated rapid easing are now reassessing timelines, leading to volatility across risk assets, including crypto. Because Bitcoin and digital ...
Institutions Keep Buying Bitcoin: Does the Long-Term Holding Thesis Still Hold?
Institutional participation in Bitcoin remains robust, with continued accumulation observed across funds, corporations, and high-net-worth investors. Despite macro volatility, long-term holders are increasing positions, signaling confidence in Bitcoin’s structural value proposition. Th...
Prediction Markets Gain Traction: Is Crypto Moving Toward “Information Pricing”?
Prediction markets in crypto have gained traction as platforms like Polymarket and Augur mature, offering decentralized mechanisms to price outcomes based on collective intelligence. These markets provide insight into sentiment, event probabilities, and market expectations. For traders, prediction ...
Firedancer Launches on Solana Mainnet: Can SOL Achieve a Performance Leap?
Solana has deployed Firedancer on its mainnet, marking a milestone in its effort to enhance network throughput and reliability. Firedancer aims to optimize node performance, transaction processing, and validator efficiency, addressing persistent concerns over congestion and downtime. For tra...
DTCC Supports Tokenized Securities Transfers: RWA Adoption Accelerates
The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) recently announced support for tokenized securities transfers, signaling a major step toward broader real-world asset (RWA) adoption in crypto markets. This move addresses historical friction in asset settlement and opens opportunities f...
Bitcoin Breaks Below $90,000: Is $88K the Key Support Level?
Bitcoin’s recent drop below the psychologically important $90,000 level has reignited market caution. After weeks of consolidation near all-time highs, selling pressure accelerated, pushing BTC toward the $88,000 region—a zone increasingly viewed as a critical technical support. ...
Breaking News: Starknet (STRK) Unlocks 127 Million Tokens, Market Eyes Potential Selling Pressure
The cryptocurrency market witnessed a significant event today. Starknet (STRK), the prominent Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution, completed its scheduled token unlock at 8:00 AM Beijing time (GMT+8) on December 15, 2025. The event released a substantial 127 million STRK tokens, valued at approximate...
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