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Two of three this week. The equity line broke, and it broke on one day. · Credit: the high yield spread finished at 3.48 against the 3.00 trigger. Held by 0.48, and it widened 0.22 on the week, its widest close since this break began. · Rates: the 2 year finished at 4.516 against 4.663. Held by 0.147, even after payrolls came in at 165,000 against 70,000 expected. · Stocks: the S&P finished at 7,376.86 against 7,428. Broke by 51. The break came Thursday. The S&P fell 4.4%, its worst day since April 2025, as AI data center stocks sold off on borrowing costs and on midterm results that raised the odds of local pauses on new data centers. Friday added back 0.3%. My equity line sat about 2% under the index, which is built to survive an ordinary week. A 4.4% day isn’t one. The question this week was whether the credit break would hold through the election, the PURR vote and payrolls. It held, and it widened into the same day stocks fell. The record moves to 78 graded, 70 held, 8 broke. The miss stays on the board. Sunday’s edition covers what the stress gauge did on Thursday. Have a great weekend.

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