source avatarP K B 【BTC/黄金/A/美股】

Share

The 3-day chart shows a failed breakout, but the daily chart has not yet confirmed a clear direction. Looking at the 3-day line, excluding the previous 3-day period’s spike in volume due to options expiration, the most recent 3-day line still exhibits significant selling pressure—greater than prior 3-day lines. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed bearish on elevated volume, precisely at the upper boundary of their trading range; thus, it’s reasonable to treat this as a failed breakout with resistance at the top. However, the daily chart has not yet confirmed a downtrend. The bearish candle formed after the prior resistance level was tested showed low volume; yesterday’s session opened lower but closed higher, with similarly low overall volume, indicating weak demand. Neither bulls nor bears have yet produced a clear, decisive signal. My current assessment remains cautious: U.S. equities may continue consolidating near the top for some time before a definitive direction emerges. Until a breakout is confirmed, maintain the assumption of continued range-bound trading. Two scenarios will be key going forward: - If the daily chart shows volume-driven price stagnation at the top, or a high-volume rally followed by a sharp rejection (bearish candle), with volume significantly exceeding current levels, I will interpret this as a confirmed breakout failure and anticipate a downward move. - If price breaks upward decisively on strong volume, it would signal a sustained uptrend. Based on the information from the 3-day chart, an upside breakout appears unlikely at this stage—but the daily chart has not yet provided confirmation. There’s no need to rush to a conclusion; remain patient and wait for the market to reveal its direction. #USStocks

No.0 picture
No.1 picture
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.