Margin Debt Peaked - Investor margin debt has hit a record $1.5 trillion but is declining now. - Peaks in margin debt lead SPX peaks by a few months; the median is 3 months. - To truly measure the risk and leverage investors are taking, it's useful to normalize margin debt with real personal disposable income, a solid sentiment/contrarian indicator. - According to this metric, investors are more than 3X leveraged than at the peak of the 2000 dot-com bubble, and that's insane. $SPX $SPY #margin $QQQ $NDX #AI
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