source avatarThe Kobeissi Letter

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2026 has been a historic year for well-diversified investment portfolios: The Permanent Portfolio is on track to gain +16% in 2026, its best annual return in 30 years. This strategy consists of equal weights of US stocks, 10-year Treasuries, commodities, and cash. This comes as commodities are up +26% year-to-date, equivalent to an annualized gain of +54% while the S&P 500 is up +10%, or +20% annualized. On the other hand, the 10-year Treasury bond price return is down -4% so far in 2026, equivalent to an annualized decline of -8%. Commodities are becoming a key driver of portfolio returns.

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