$SPY $VIX $VXX $MGK $SMH: $SPY remains in a powerful uptrend, but the internal structure of the rally is deteriorating rapidly beneath the surface. The index continues making higher highs above all major moving averages, but several warning signals are now aligning simultaneously: • Daily Rising Wedge forming in SPY and SMH • Falling Wedges forming in $VIX and $VXX • VIX Bollinger Bands compressing aggressively → volatility expansion setup • Negative divergence between $SPY and $HYG (credit no longer confirming equities) • Breadth deteriorating (% of SPY stocks above 20d/50d/200d SMA rolling over) • $RSP underperforming SPY sharply → narrowing participation • Rally increasingly dependent on mega-cap leadership. VRVP analysis is becoming especially important here: SPY is now rallying through relatively thin-volume territory above 710, while the strongest institutional acceptance remains materially lower at 697-702 and 681-689. That means momentum can continue pushing price higher… but if momentum weakens, downside rotation could accelerate quickly through low-liquidity zones. $ SMH displays a similar structure: parabolic momentum + Rising Wedge + thin VRVP participation above 500 = increasing downside air-pocket risk if semis finally lose momentum leadership. Meanwhile, volatility instruments are showing the opposite structure: Compressed Bollinger Bands + Falling Wedges in VIX/VXX + weak downside volume acceptance often precedes violent volatility repricing events. Trend remains bullish while SPY holds above 715-710. But structurally, this market is becoming: more narrow, more crowded, more momentum-dependent, and increasingly fragile beneath the surface. If you want to read the full article, click the link below https://t.co/rQRcp4jhuN

Share







Source:Show original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information.
Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.