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Wall Street Has No Myths — Only Cycles and Nooses A dramatic 180-day arc for former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner is making the rounds. The Rise: He entered with roughly $250 million and delivered extraordinary 2025 returns (reportedly over 2,000%). Assets under management climbed from $250 million toward $20 billion and peaked near $45 billion. His early 2025 investment in Anthropic — valuation rising from ~$61.5 billion to $965 billion — became the signature win that made Wall Street take notice. The Fall: In July, heavily held AI infrastructure names (including SK Hynix, Micron, Sandisk, Nebius) dropped more than 35% in a month. Simultaneously, short positions in software names moved against him. Leverage amplified both the ascent and the descent. The Climax: Rumors circulate of concentrated pressure around the FOMC window and forced liquidations. A portfolio once valued near $45 billion was sharply reduced. Citadel is said to have acquired a large portion of the public holdings at deep discounts (40–50 cents on the dollar). What remained was primarily a private Anthropic stake — reportedly around $5 billion — as the last significant holding. The Human Detail: The timing collided with his wedding weekend. Margin pressures arrived as he was reportedly still framing the drawdown as a buying opportunity. Takeaway: In a powerful bull market almost anyone can look like a genius. Leverage turns that perception into vulnerability the moment the cycle turns — especially when the other side of the trade is sophisticated and well-capitalized. Risk Note: This is a recounted market narrative based on circulating reports and should be treated as such. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, DYOR! Talent, timing, and leverage collided with a sharp sector rotation. How do you read this chapter of the AI trade? Drop your thoughts below! #WallStreet #AIInvesting #Leopold #Citadel #Cycles #Markets

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