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How to Become a Trading Master — Dealing with Black Swans Even if your win rate is 99%, that 1% black swan event can wipe you out completely. Lessons: The Swiss franc in 2015, negative oil prices in 2020, LUNA in 2022. Rule: Never allocate more than 20% of your total capital as notional principal to any single asset. Action: When faced with sudden extreme market moves, your first response should be to reduce position size, not add to it. Staying alive matters more than anything else. Have you ever experienced a black swan?

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