I am taking the no on Will HYPE hit $100 in September? I called the no earlier in the week, and I’m restating it now. This isn’t a fresh take or a reaction to a screenshot. It’s a position update based on the clock. The required move is from $92.35 to $100, a $7.65 gap or 8.3 percent. That distance might have been workable with more sessions available, but a touch market gets harder as the window closes because the same move has to arrive in fewer sessions. I’m on the no because only 5 days are left in September after today. That’s the new argument, and it matters more to my read than the earlier probability framing. I’m sharing this as my read on a probabilistic market, and @Outcomexyz is where I’m expressing it. → HYPE is $92.35, which is 8.3 percent below the $100 target → HYPE is $7.65 below the $100 target in dollar terms → There are 5 days left in September after today → The market is Will HYPE hit $100 in September? Time is now the main risk to the yes side. I’d be wrong if HYPE accelerates sharply and reaches $100 while there’s still time left, because that would erase the distance argument. Fewer sessions, harder touch.