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Hyperliquid is applying the same ecosystem playbook that helped scale perpetual markets through HIP-3. The protocol just announced that HIP-4 outcome markets will become permissionless, allowing builders to launch markets for sports, elections, macro events, crypto, and virtually any verifiable outcome. But there's one catch. Every deployer must: • Stake 500,000 $HYPE (~$30M). • Lock it for 6 months. • Risk partial or full slashing for poorly defined markets, incorrect settlements, or failing to settle within one week. • Validators must approve standardized market templates before deployment. • Builders can earn up to 50% of trading fees from the markets they create. This isn't "permissionless at all costs." It's permissionless with accountability. What's interesting is that HIP-4 already proved people want the product before opening it to builders. Since launching on mainnet in May, it has recorded: • $6M first-day trading volume. • 54K trades on launch day. • 6.05M contracts traded by roughly 4,000 unique traders. • 0.7% of global prediction market volume on day one. Since then, growth has continued: • $80M peak daily volume. • $25M open interest. • Around 20% of Polymarket's BTC market volume within weeks. • $384.6M cumulative trading volume. • 7M fills. • 4M trades. • 897+ outcome markets. • Around 698 daily active users. • $8.95K generated in builder fees. • A record $4.4M settled in 24 hours. Sports have already become a major growth driver. During the 2026 FIFA World Cup, one frontend processed $20M+ in trading volume, accounting for roughly 40% of platform activity while bringing a wave of new users. Hyperliquid also has structural advantages: • Fully collateralized YES/NO markets. • No leverage. • No liquidations. • Unified margin with spot and perpetuals. • Zero opening fees during the current rollout. • Fast on-chain execution without bridging assets. To me, this is bigger than prediction markets. Hyperliquid is gradually turning its Layer 1 into infrastructure that other builders can monetize. HIP-3 did it for perpetual markets. HIP-4 is now doing the same for prediction markets. If the permissionless rollout succeeds, the network doesn't just gain more markets. It gains more builders, more trading activity, stronger utility for $HYPE, and another step toward becoming a complete on-chain financial platform. That's the story I'm watching.

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