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CFTC scrutiny of Kalshi follows WSJ analysis of nearly 1 million near-identical ~$5,500 Ether perpetual futures trades that generated over $5 billion in volume in recent weeks, with patterns accounting for 47-63% of daily notional on some days. Analysts flagged high volume-to-open-interest ratios (up to 174x), raising wash-trading concerns. However, Kalshi attributes the activity to market makers repeatedly posting fixed quotes that faster traders hit, rather than self-matching. Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market platform that launched crypto perps in mid-2026, denies any wash trading and states such practices are prohibited on its exchange, with the review still in preliminary stages.

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