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Ethereum's staking-ratio headline strengthens the holder-commitment case, and the instant supply-shock read is too neat. CT keeps treating staked ETH as if it vanished from the market. Liquid staking tokens keep capital mobile, collateral positions can be hedged, and withdrawals remain available, so the same ratio can coexist with very different sell pressure. Choosing yield and validator exposure over idle ETH can make ownership stickier. Any price impact still depends on how much of that exposure stays unhedged.

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