bitcoin:native just closed a week below its lowest weekly close of the prior 11 weeks. I pulled every break like this since 2015. 18 of them, one per selloff. 4 weeks later: median +3.4%, higher 12 of 18. 13 weeks later: median +3.7%, higher only 9 of 18. Typical worst close along the way: −8.8%. Worst ever: −48%. The first month leaned higher. After that, a coin flip with a huge range.
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