source avatarSTEELLDY.COM

Share

Deflationary shock on labor, starting with capital-labor substitution modeling. It emphasizes that employers need fewer professionals and the average labor market price falls toward the cost of the replacement machine. This is formalized via a CES production function augmented by AI, where K is capital (computing power, robots), L is labor, and H is AI-augmented human capital. Parameter ρ→0 implies perfect substitutability between K and L·H. The real wage (w) first-order condition shows that when H→∞ (powerful generative AI), w converges to the marginal cost of machine inference. A modified dynamic Fisher equation for labor shows wage deflation for white-collar workers when H˙/H > A˙/A. The automation diffusion timeline (2028-2033) follows a logistic curve with t0≈2029 (inflection point) and k≈0.8 (adoption speed). The WEF estimates 92 million net job destructions by 2030 (22% churn), while Goldman Sachs projects 9% of US workforce (~15 million) displaced over 10 years. The equilibrium unemployment rate (NAIRU) is revised upward, forcing central banks to choose between financial repression (inflation) and debt monetization. @SteelldyIndice

Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.