update bitcoin:native 2026 aVWAP touched, gap 1 closed. currently some mechanical bounce scenario 1 from previous post in now being tested - let's see how the week goes, i see on tl a lot of people longing it. not sure if that's very wise outside of a quick scalp as we said, out of all 3 downside scenarios, i considered this the least likely - simply because loss of 365d rVWAP after 5 taps should trigger serious reflexivity instead of a simple liquidity sweep, which scenario 1 (bottom at 2026 aVWAP) would imply think we should retest it towards usa session or so, then it totally depends on how macro etc develops. but i really fail to see where a BTC bid would come from these days think this bounce is rather a sell/short but when in doubt you can also simply do nothing and stay flat. very underrated option, too many are fading it
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