The following is the conclusion I drew when writing my Bitcoin article in August. Since this is the only article I’ve written, it’s easy to find and read. The monthly chart has touched the 20-period MA, and now we’re approaching the daily 200-period MA. Historical examples show that prices have often reversed sharply after touching this level—sometimes dipping slightly below (with minimal price difference) before immediately rallying after the close. Therefore, rather than viewing this as a simple line, treat it as a zone. In other words, historically, the area around the 200-period MA has been a compelling zone for buying and a critical level for determining medium- to long-term trends. I have many thoughts on this, but if this zone breaks down, there’s no meaningful support until $70K and then $64K—making it even harder to find a buying opportunity afterward. I’ve already calculated my risk: once the daily 200-period MA is reached, I know exactly how much I’m willing to lose. I’ve also planned my next steps after a loss—so when the setup appears, I’ll buy. If it breaks? I’ll cut my loss and move on. Most traders hesitate in situations like this because they haven’t quantified their potential loss—fear of loss paralyzes them. But if you define your maximum acceptable loss in concrete terms, and that loss feels no different from your usual trading losses, you’ll be able to act decisively.