bitcoin:native bear markets feel like they'll never end. Here's how they actually tend to resolve. Since late 2015, Bitcoin has had 14 completed drawdowns of 20% or more. The median decline was about 28%. Go back further and the major cycle bears look like this: 2011: −93% and 164 days from peak to low. 2013–15: −85% and 406 days. 2018: −83% and 364 days. 2021 spring: −53% and 98 days. 2022: −77% and 378 days. That 2013–15 bear came right before the biggest bull market in Bitcoin's history. Today we're near $75.8K, about 39% below the October 2025 closing high — 397 days later. This same drawdown already reached 53% at June’s low. The year-long bears took 364 to 406 days to find a low. This sell-off has already run 397 days — longer than 2018 and 2022, and right in line with 2013–15. Midterms just passed. It doesn't always bounce the next day. After 2018, Bitcoin kept selling for about another month. After 2022, the low came about two weeks later. Twelve months after the last three midterms, Bitcoin was higher every time: 2014: +25% 2018: +45% 2022: +92% Based on structure, plus higher-timeframe momentum, strength, and money flow, the more likely outcome from here is a higher low inside my $76K–$65K zone. We already lost $83K–$77K. Now sitting near the top of that band, working the $76K area. Weekly closes below $77K keep this map in play. This week’s close is Sunday. 🤝🫡