source avatarDariusz Kowalczyk

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🛢️ Oil falls, Bitcoin rebounds above $82.5K—but ETFs remain skeptical. BTC is trading again around $82,400–82,800 after testing below $80K last week. The momentum stems largely from declining oil prices (Trump partially lifts sanctions on Russian oil, increasing supply). The market is breathing easier, with Fear & Greed at ~59. Meanwhile, spot ETF flows remain weak—net outflows of ~$229M last week, with October overall still in negative territory. Institutional view: This is a classic risk-on rebound following the CPI shock, but without genuine conviction from major players. Open interest remains below the 365-day average, and spot demand stays thin. As long as ETF flows don’t sustainably turn positive, any move above $83K remains vulnerable. $80K was the test—the next real catalyst is the Fed meeting at the end of October. Short-term realistic outlook: stabilization, not a breakout. Are you buying the rebound, or waiting for clear ETF inflows? #Bitcoin #BTC #ETF #Macro #Oil #Institutional #Crypto

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