Howard Marks: A true bubble requires investors to be completely unaware, and typically needs several conditions to be met simultaneously: Market valuations are clearly detached from rational investor judgment. Risk appetite is severely out of sync with reality. Investor sentiment has completely spiraled out of control. Valuation data supports this assessment: The current forward P/E ratios of the five largest tech stocks are approximately 23x, far below the peak of 65x in 2000. Precisely because everyone is talking about a bubble, the bubble is still far from bursting.
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