source avatarSaleh Al Mirzim

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A question that serves as the key to understanding the entire game: *Why the Guardian? And why both stories published at the same time?* This is not journalism—this is *political intelligence disguised as journalism.* *First: Why the Guardian specifically?* The Guardian is not an ordinary newspaper. It is: 1. *The voice of Britain’s ruling Labour Party:* The current British government is Labour, and the Guardian is its de facto official newspaper. Anything published there is a deliberate leak from the British Foreign Office. 2. *Britain is the historical and legal custodian of the South:* Britain occupied Aden for 129 years, drew the 1990 borders, and is a permanent member of the UN Security Council. No Southern referendum can occur without Britain’s involvement. When the Guardian publishes news of a referendum, it means London has begun promoting the idea internationally. 3. *A message to Washington, not Riyadh:* Saudi Arabia and the UAE read Arabic and Middle Eastern media, but Washington reads the Guardian and the New York Times. The message is directed at the White House: We are preparing a land-based alternative to the Houthis. *Second: Why were both stories published together in the same paper?* This is the clever strategy known in politics as *"Linkage."* The British Foreign Office wants to tell the world one single message through these two stories: > *"The first scenario (Saudi-UAE air cover + ground forces against the Houthis) cannot be executed without implementing the second (guarantees for a Southern referendum)."* Why link them? *Reason 1: Legitimizing the coming war internationally* The world will not accept a new war in Yemen if it appears as merely "Saudi Arabia bombing Yemenis again." But it will accept it if it appears as "Southern forces securing international shipping in exchange for their right to self-determination." The Guardian has created a human rights cover for military action. *Reason 2: Pressure on Saudi Arabia* Saudi Arabia wants Southern forces to fight for free. Through the Guardian, Britain is saying: No, they won’t fight for free this time. You must pay the political price. We (Britain) guarantee that the price will be the referendum. This protects Britain from repeating its past betrayal of the South. *Reason 3: Testing Houthi and Legitimacy responses* Publishing both stories together is a trial balloon: - How will the Houthis react if they learn the South will fight with air cover in exchange for statehood? - How will Yemen’s internationally recognized government react if they learn the price of liberating the North is Southern secession? The Guardian is monitoring reactions before any official decision is made. *Final Conclusion:* The Guardian did not publish two stories—it published *one two-part deal:* *The military component for Saudi Arabia and the UAE:* We will provide you with air cover. *The political component for the South:* We will guarantee your referendum. The patron of this deal is *Britain.* This explains why *the Southern Arab Charter* must cling to this angle and not abandon it: For the first time in Southern history, a major Western newspaper has linked *Southern blood and Southern rights* within a single article. This is a historic opportunity that will not come again. Widad Bawazir

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