source avatarMurphy

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Over the past couple of days, I’ve finally noticed many bloggers on X beginning to view this cycle as a “trend reversal,” rather than just a “technical rebound.” After all, from a technical standpoint, BTC breaking above the previous rebound high of $82,850 means the downtrend structure has been broken. But we actually made this clear 20 days ago—when the “Investor Confidence Index” generated its first green signal. Price is merely the result of order matching in the secondary market, while on-chain data reflects the most direct behavioral feedback from all participants. That’s precisely what makes it so powerful: it may lag in the short term, but often leads in the long term. If you’ve been following me since 2023, you’re certainly familiar with this indicator: the green zone between two red zones corresponds to a clear trend phase. An entire bull market is composed of N such trend segments. As you can see now, the indicator is firmly within a clear green signal zone. So what’s there to doubt? Remember: pullbacks are opportunities. The dishes are almost all on the table—why are you still hesitating to act? Are you waiting for someone else to feed you? ... Mute the noise, stay confident, and trust yourself. The only signal that a trend has ended will be when the Confidence Index exits the green zone and re-enters the red zone. My “Subscription Zone” will update and share insights the moment this happens. You’re always welcome to join—let’s explore this together!

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