$BTC In my main scenario, the low of early September marked the daily cycle bottom. Only ONE big green candle was enough to form a very early — and honestly, quite rare — top, followed by a decline below the assumed cycle low. So the cycle remains bearish until proven otherwise. Yesterday, “out of the blue”, an enormous push higher started, followed today by a small follow-through. But as long as Bitcoin remain below the early September high, the bearish scenario remains valid. A lower high should eventually be followed by another lower low. And that creates a very interesting risk/reward setup for a short: 🎯 Entry: around current levels 🛑 Stop: ~83K 🎯 Target: below 75K Less than $2K of risk for a potential $6K+ move. This is exactly the type of setup I’m looking for. Of course, this trade can still end in a loss. The market can prove my scenario wrong. But that's the point: defined risk, a clear invalidation level and asymmetric upside. I don't need every trade to work. I need to consistently take the setups where the potential reward justifies the risk.