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Post-Fed week liquidity isn’t a straight line. After ~$746M two-day spot BTC ETF outflows, 9/17 printed a snap-back: ≈+$159.5M net to BTC ETFs (IBIT ≈+$183.7M). ETH rails still soft. Flows ≠ price theater. One inflow day ≠ “printer on.” One outflow stack ≠ thesis over. Desk map: hike → path → liquidity → risk. Measure the rails. Don’t invent the trade. NFA — scenario map, not advice.

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