source avatar土澳大狮兄BroLeon | Crypto | AI | Stocks

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The most valuable—and most dangerous—moment in the market is the transition between bear and bull cycles, and vice versa. When the bull market lasts too long, traders tend to get overconfident, take on excessive leverage, hold oversized positions, and try to catch falling knives—only to get wiped out as prices continue to plummet. When the bear market drags on, traders often develop paranoia, convinced every rally is a dead cat bounce designed to trap them. Even missing out on gains is the lesser evil; many sell too early at the first sign of a rebound, or even use high leverage trying to catch the top—ending up as tragic figures who lose more the more the market rises. I can’t say with 100% certainty that the bear market has fully turned bullish, but right now, the odds and expected value clearly favor long positions. If Jiang has his mindset right, there’s nothing to worry about—let’s get back into Crypto and feast like kings, drink like champions 🍺

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