You should never try to rationalize irrational markets. I see so many people trying to predict the next “S&P 500 crash” or the next “BTC drop.” Take a look around. The market doesn’t reward the person trying to be rational. And that’s literally because everyone is conditioned to think the exact same way. “Oh, it will eventually cool down a bit.” “Oh, it has to come back down eventually.” BTC doesn’t have to give you your ideal retest. Neither do legacy markets. You would make far more money being a bull and looking for continuation longs once the trend has shifted than trying to rationalize a market that is inherently irrational. The market is designed to exceed expectations. Thats how they build fomo! Rationally speaking, $BTC could test $69–70K. But if we’re speaking from a psychological perspective, we might only get $72–74K, or even just a sweep of our $75K PWL before testing the highs again. All I’m saying is bull cycles tend to have shallow retests. Rather than trying to short the market back down to where you think it should retest, you’re probably better off gradually scaling in with low leverage and DCA’ing into the position. At least, that’s exactly what I would be doing if I wasn’t already exposed.
KillaShare

Source:Show original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information.
Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.