Summary: Following the previous analysis, a short-term rebound after the decline has occurred, and after consolidation, the price is expected to resume its downward trend. Price Projection: The price is consolidating around 79,400, with a minor rebound expected. After the rebound, it will first break below 78,813, then drop to below 77,910, before returning to consolidate near 78,600. Previous Projection: After consolidating near 81,000, the price was expected to gradually rise above 81,325, with a potential breakout toward 83,000. Actual Price Movement: After consolidating near 81,000, the price broke through 81,325 and reached a high of approximately 82,200. It has now retreated and is consolidating near 79,400. Future Outlook: - Liquidity vacuum. - Short-term bullish momentum has been absorbed; the trend remains range-bound. - Medium- and long-term outlook also remains range-bound. Price Channel: - Short-term volume-weighted average: 78,630 | Upper bound: 81,300 | Lower bound: 77,340 - Medium-term volume-weighted average: 81,710 | Upper bound: 78,210 | Lower bound: 75,610 - Long-term volume-weighted average: 78,610 | Upper bound: 81,320 | Lower bound: 61,670 According to this indicator, price tends to reverse after reaching the upper bound and finds support near the 78,630 average. Price remains above the average, suggesting continued upward momentum. - Short-term volume-based average: 76,610 | Upper bound: 82,190 | Lower bound: 63,670 - Medium-term volume-based average: 78,190 | Upper bound: 82,180 | Lower bound: 70,290 - Long-term volume-based average: 67,060 | Upper bound: 81,320 | Lower bound: 60,000 According to this indicator, after reaching a peak and retracing, price needs to find support near the 78,190 average. Both indicators suggest that after price retests its upper boundary, it must first seek support near the 78,630 average and consolidate there. Limit Order Sweep: Short-term bears aggressively pushed price from 79,430 to 81,304. A small bullish move has recently emerged between 78,862 and 79,385. Below lies historical bullish support at 79,646–78,800. Price is currently consolidating within this historical bullish zone, reinforced by the emergence of a small bullish move—suggesting temporary stabilization in this range. However, significant bearish pressure remains above; target is a breakdown below 78,862 after consolidation. Medium-term bears are pushing from 81,198 to 79,433; target is a break below the first level at 78,813. Long-term bulls are active between 77,910 and 81,334; however, current momentum suggests a need to retest and fill the 77,910 level. Overall, this indicator shows a new small bullish move emerging—supporting short-term consolidation near 79,400—but medium- and long-term targets remain bearish: a breakdown below 78,813 and potentially below 77,910. Combined Analysis: - Liquidity vacuum → Consolidation expected. - Price channel → Must first seek support near the 78,630 average and consolidate there. - Limit order sweep → Consolidating near 79,400 short-term; medium- and long-term targets remain bearish—breakdown below 78,813 and potentially below 77,910.
暗流Share



Source:Show original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information.
Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.