BTC — Spot, Futures, ETF, OI, Order Book & Liquidity Map Current BTC is trading around $76K–$77K. Last week, we said the $81K–$82K zone was the key barrier. BTC tested that area, failed to break and hold above it, and then price started moving lower. Now the market is no longer showing the same strength. The structure has changed. Spot Spot flows are negative. 24H spot → -$241M 1W spot → -$435M This means spot demand is weakening. Buyers are not aggressive here. When spot turns negative, the market loses one of its most important support factors. Futures Futures flows are also negative. 24H futures → -$1.31B 1W futures → -$2.92B This is important. Futures are no longer pushing the market higher. The previous momentum is fading, and this confirms that the failed $82K test created weakness. ETF ETF flows are also weak. Latest ETF session: Daily Net Flow → -$236.50M Total → -3.01K BTC IBIT / BlackRock → -2.56K BTC FBTC → -556 BTC BITB → +106 BTC This is not a supportive ETF session. Before, BlackRock was one of the main supports. Now BlackRock also showed outflow. That makes the ETF side weaker. OI Open Interest is falling. Total Futures OI → $135.55B 24H change → -0.94% This shows that risk is being reduced. The market is not only moving lower in price, but also losing part of the futures structure that supported the previous move. Liquidations 24H liquidations → $348M Longs → $281M Shorts → $66M Now longs are being liquidated more than shorts. This confirms that after the failed $82K test, downside pressure started affecting long positions. The market first moved toward upside liquidity. Now, after rejection, pressure shifted back to the downside. Order Book Order book shows liquidity on both sides, but bids are stronger below price. Above price: $76.8K–$77.3K This is short-term resistance. Below price: $76.5K–$75.8K There are stronger bid walls below, but if price starts eating those bids, the next downside move can become faster. Liquidity Map Liquidity map shows BTC moving around a dense liquidity zone. The important point: liquidity is very close to current price. That means volatility can stay high. If price fails to reclaim $77K–$78K, market can continue moving toward lower liquidity. If price reclaims and holds above $78K, then short-term stabilization becomes possible. Interpretation The structure is weaker now. Spot is negative. Futures are negative. ETF is negative. OI is falling. Longs are being liquidated. This is not the same structure we had during the move toward $82K. Last week, $82K acted as a major resistance zone. BTC failed there, and after that rejection, flows started turning red. My view: As long as spot and futures flows remain negative, it is dangerous to rush into longs. The market needs confirmation first. Not emotion. Not hope. Confirmation. Conclusion 1. BTC failed near $82K last week 2. Spot flows turned negative 3. Futures flows turned negative 4. ETF session is weak 5. BlackRock showed outflow 6. OI is falling 7. Longs are now being liquidated 8. Liquidity is close to price 9. Volatility risk remains high 10. The market needs to reclaim key levels first Risk If BTC fails to reclaim $77K–$78K, downside pressure can continue. Main zones to watch: Resistance → $77K–$78K Support → $76K–$75.8K Lower liquidity → $75K–$74K If spot demand returns, and futures outflows slow down, BTC can stabilize. But for now, the structure is defensive. After the failed $82K test last week, the market is showing weakness. Not financial advice.
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