source avatar星期天-77

Share

An easily overlooked message in the crypto space: On September 1, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bentsen stated at a G20 side event that the Strait of Hormuz will be rendered "bypassable" within two years, and the U.S. will further intensify sanctions against Iran. Key details worth unpacking: Bentsen noted that since Trump took office, U.S. daily oil production has increased by 1.6 to 2.2 million barrels, with the goal of turning the Strait of Hormuz into a "valueless body of water" by shifting oil transport to land-based pipelines, thereby reducing U.S. dependence on this strategic chokepoint. He also mentioned that 85%-90% of Iran’s oil infrastructure remains rebuildable; new banking sanctions may be announced this or next week, with support already secured from the EU, the European Central Bank, the UK, the UAE, and Bahrain, while also monitoring aviation leasing companies linked to Iran. Why this matters for crypto: The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most critical energy transit routes. Any strategic shift affecting it will, over the long term, influence crude oil supply expectations and geopolitical risk premiums. Historically, fluctuations in oil prices and risk premiums have been key drivers of dollar liquidity and sentiment toward risk assets—including cryptocurrencies. Escalating sanctions typically mean rising uncertainty; while markets may not react immediately, once such measures are implemented (e.g., actual banking sanctions are announced), volatility often strikes suddenly. 这类地缘政治消息不会直接告诉你该买该卖,但它是判断"风险偏好会不会突然收缩"的重要拼图之一,比单纯盯K线更早拿到信号。 Personal interpretation only—not investment advice.

No.0 picture
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.