source avatarTanaka

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I think pre-IPO trading could become a major source of growth for onchain markets. I can research a private company, build a valuation model and form a strong view on its business. Acting on that view is much harder. Access to shares is limited, transactions are infrequent, and shorting is often impractical. That creates an opportunity for markets where investors can trade both sides before a public listing. @ventuals, @tradexyz and @entropyIO give me three ways to assess that opportunity. [1] @ventuals offered early access to private-company exposure. But being early creates a problem: traders may need to hold positions for months without a clear IPO date. Funding costs and thin liquidity can make even a good investment thesis difficult to trade. [2] @tradexyz gives me a broader comparison. Its expansion across traditional assets makes execution and distribution central to the business. A new ticker can attract attention. Competitive pricing and reliable liquidity give traders reasons to return. [3] @entropyIO interests me because it is addressing pricing directly. Its pre-IPO oracle weights internal market prices according to executable order-book depth. That is a concrete design choice I can evaluate, although it still needs to prove itself during volatile conditions My thesis is that the strongest venues will make pre-IPO exposure practical to hold, adjust and exit. I would compare them on: – spreads and slippage at meaningful trade sizes. – funding costs across the holding period. – pricing quality when private-market information is scarce. – clear treatment of an IPO, a delay or a cancelled listing. These products also need to be understood correctly. Entropy and tradexyz offer cash-settled derivatives, so the exposure does not provide ownership of the underlying shares. The commercial opportunity extends beyond the pre-IPO period. I think a venue that attracts traders and market makers before listing has a chance to retain that activity afterward. The bigger opportunity is for onchain markets to become a place where investors consistently price and trade companies before they reach public exchanges.

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