Where I get suspicious is what happens after a legitimate technical problem appears. If the unreconciled June data show larger inventory draws, weaker production, stronger exports or tighter refined product balances than the weeklies suggested, the incentive is to move slowly. Releasing the report quickly risks confirming that emergency SPR barrels were masking a tighter physical market, highlighting how far the reserve has been drained and potentially adding upward pressure to energy prices at a politically sensitive moment. Delaying the report buys time. It allows more validation, reduces the risk of publishing numbers that could move markets, and avoids immediately handing critics an official scorecard showing worsening energy tightness heading into the midterms. You do not need a coordinated conspiracy for that.
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