“As we enter August, we hit the second of the two danger period, when Aug 1 -5 again look to me to contain considerable potential for heavy US losses. After August 6th or so, things may calm down some again. And August 16-19 looks quite hopeful, but I would not expect a peace deal to be worked out before August 21st or so, and then not finalized until September. September 3-13 looks extremely promising, and my guess is that the deal will be finalized during that time window.”- Peter Novak
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