source avatar憨厚的麦总

Share

I just re-entered a portion of the storage position I sold earlier today, opening a position less than half the size of yesterday’s. My reasoning is that while this level doesn’t offer as clear a bounce setup as yesterday, if my view that yesterday marked a major阶段性 bottom remains unchanged—given that negative catalysts have been priced in, the earnings season and FOMC are now behind us, and the largest long leverage has been unwound, signaling a shift in market sentiment—then a 40% rebound in one day followed by a 10+ point pullback at open is entirely normal, as it flushes out profit-takers and trapped holders. Let’s test this thesis: although I still don’t believe this is a full reversal—since June’s high occurred under conditions of maximum leverage, widespread retail participation, and zero trapped holders—I do believe this rally will be a weekly-scale rebound, with at least three or four solid swing opportunities along the way.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.