source avatar比特进

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A while ago, during the downturn, many people predicted $30,000–$40,000. These past few days, with the rebound, many now predict $80,000–$90,000. A few days from now, when the crash comes, many will again predict even lower levels. Most people think linearly—following the price movements on the K-line— rather than thinking cyclically based on underlying fundamentals. What retail traders think doesn’t matter. All it takes is a few days of price pumping or a single dump, and market sentiment flips instantly. But some things never change. Trading means studying what never changes. The market has only two players: the主力 (institutional player) and the retail trader. The主力 has only one goal: to eliminate retail traders and maximize their own profit. They force retail traders to sell at the bottom and buy at the top. You might say: “Everyone knows that—it’s obvious.” So what? People keep making the same mistakes anyway. Buying AI stocks, gold stocks, storage stocks, space stocks at the top. Many say: “I won’t sell at the bottom.” But look—has there ever been a single bear market where retail traders didn’t sell at the bottom? There has never been an exception. Why? Because if retail traders didn’t sell at the bottom, there would be no next bull market. If retail traders don’t hand over their holdings at low prices to the主力, why would the主力 pump the price just to work for them?

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