If you risk 5% of your current account on every trade (compounding), target 2.5R (so +12.5% on a win and −5% on a loss), and achieve a 55% win rate over 50 trades, then the expected result is: Starting balance: $2,000 Expected wins: 27 Expected losses: 22 Using compounding This gives an expected ending balance of approximately: Final balance: ≈ $15,900 Total profit: ≈ $13,900 Return: ≈ +695% Keep in mind this is a mathematical expectation based on exactly a 55% win rate.