source avatar福禄寿 UV DAO

Share

BTC has reclaimed $66,000, with the biggest catalyst for the rebound being breakthrough progress on the CLARITY Act. The market is now repricing expectations for the implementation of U.S. cryptocurrency regulatory frameworks; once the bill is ultimately passed, it will further reduce regulatory uncertainty for institutional entry into the crypto market—a development with greater long-term significance than short-term capital inflows. Changes in capital flows are already validating this logic: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $227 million in a single day, while spot Ethereum ETFs resumed net inflows. Meanwhile, BTC’s MVRV percentile has dropped to approximately 5%, indicating that on-chain valuations have returned to historically low levels, enhancing its long-term allocation value—though this does not imply that short-term risks have disappeared. On-chain capital flows remain mixed: some users withdrew 7,000 ETH to continue staking, while a BTC whale holding coins for 12 years chose to cash out the final portion of their position. This suggests the current market is not a uniformly bullish trend, but rather one driven by policy expectations, with new capital absorbing long-term profit-taking positions. The market’s key variables going forward are two-fold: first, whether the CLARITY Act can successfully complete legislative passage; and second, whether tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalate further. Trump is expected to decide within the coming days whether to expand military action against Iran; if Middle East conflict fully escalates, oil prices, inflation, and liquidity expectations could once again become dominant market themes, impacting global risk assets—including cryptocurrencies. bitcoin:native

Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.