$BTC has been trading inside the same log regression channel since 2017. And there's a rhythm here almost nobody is talking about. Every bottom prints at the channel bottom: 2018 → channel bottom (−45%) 2020 COVID → channel bottom (−50%) 2022 → channel bottom (−38.06%) 2026 → channel bottom, in play right now (−38.88%) Four for four. The last two within 1% of each other. But the tops alternate: 2017 → overshoot ABOVE the channel (+171%) 2019 → contained top, inside the channel 2021 → overshoot ABOVE the channel (+167%) 2024–25 → contained top, inside the channel Overshoot. Contained. Overshoot. Contained. The 2024–25 cycle didn't "fail" — it was the contained top in the sequence. Exactly like 2019. And everyone wrote 2019 off too, right before 2021 escaped the channel. Which means: If the alternation holds, the next top is the escape. A +160% overshoot above the channel — the same magnitude as 2017 and 2021 — projects into the $400k–680k region into 2027. And even if that sounds exaggerated: a mere retouch of the channel top from here sends us into the $200k–300k region. That's the conservative case. We're at the channel bottom. The pattern says accumulate here. S/O to @lastcoins for bringing this pattern to my notice.
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