📉 A-shares opened significantly lower today, then rallied before falling back, forming a long upper shadow with increased volume. This indicates severe lack of demand and heavy selling pressure at higher levels; both major indices have confirmed a breakdown. The daily charts show no signs of bottoming out—blindly buying on the left side is like grabbing chestnuts from the fire. Below is a precise breakdown of institutional fund flows and key battleground conditions. Save and hold onto this. I. Market Index: Lifeline and Post-Mortem Analysis CSI 300 (Left, Figure 1) The only critical lifeline for tomorrow and the day after is 4,730. The index must close above this level within 48 hours for the tech sector to retain even a sliver of rebound potential; if it fails, all rebound expectations are definitively extinguished. SSE Composite (Right, Figure 1) The key daily support level is at 3,950—this is the last cover for bulls. Once broken this week, the downside opens fully, with the next target at 3,800. ChiNext Index Has broken key daily support on high volume. The only remaining scenario is to observe whether it can trigger a “breakdown-recovery” trap; if it fails to recover quickly, it will likely evolve into a one-sided downward oscillation. Sci-Tech 50 Opened precisely near critical support today, but volume remains elevated. The sole trigger for speculative play: a significant volume contraction during a pullback to this level in the coming days. II. Core Weight Stocks: Full Retreat Risk in Financials Brokerage Sector Daily chart has officially broken below the March low. If it fails to strongly rebound tomorrow or the day after, the brokerage sector will confirm a one-sided daily downtrend—marking total market collapse and the end of any bullish illusion. Insurance Sector Again rallied then pulled back, leaving a long upper shadow on the daily chart. This pattern mirrors the brokerage sector’s decline—collective deterioration of weighty indicators makes blind bottom-fishing extremely dangerous. III. Structural Themes: Precise Arbitrage Conditions for Tech Semiconductors (Top Left, Figure 4) Continuing to decline without volume contraction—bearish momentum remains intact, suggesting further downside potential. 👉 Linked Arbitrage Strategy: Only if Sci-Tech 50 completes its adjustment and semiconductors simultaneously show “volume-contracted further decline” will we consider using semiconductors to play a Sci-Tech 50 rebound in our [Elite 50-Person Group]. If no volume contraction occurs, abandon entirely. Telecom Equipment (Top Right, Figure 4) Opened low but rallied higher—yet volume remains excessively high, indicating strong institutional divergence. I believe further downside remains likely, with probable retracement to the white line support shown in the chart. Robotics (Bottom Right, Figure 4) Volume expanded without price gain—clear sign of insiders using positive news or sentiment to exit positions. Avoid entirely. Batteries / Power / Coal Battery sector structure is completely broken—directly target the lower end of the range. Power sector dropped sharply on Friday and pulled back on lower volume today; dominated by quantitative funds—stand aside. Coal stuck at resistance with no breakout—observe more, act less. IV. Junk Time: Must Exit Weak Sectors Transportation / Healthcare (Bottom, Figure 4) These two low-tier sectors have definitively broken below the bull-bear divide since September 2024, re-establishing a bear market structure. 💥 Cognitive Correction: Previously, during the broader market rally, they merely experienced weak bear-market rebounds. They are now fully abandoned. 💡 Trading Summary: A-shares are likely entering a prolonged and painful bear market downtrend. Any future spikes are merely bear-market rallies—never deploy large capital aggressively. Since May 29’s high point, our [Elite 50-Person Group] has shifted into strict defensive mode, providing granular market analysis and real-time entry/exit alerts. We recommend holding only minimal capital and following my rhythm to capture ultra-short-term swing opportunities during market extremes—accumulate small wins into big gains. Final interactive bet: Do you believe CSI 300 can hold the critical 4,730 tech lifeline tomorrow or the day after? 🔸 If held → Tech prepares for its final rally. 🔸 If broken → Market accelerates toward bottom. Leave your single answer in the comments below. 👇

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