One of the worst days on the US stock market just happened. S&P 500: -2.64% Nasdaq 100: -4.77% Dow Jones: -1.35% VIX surged to 20.2 (+4.80 pts / +31.17%). Today alone, roughly $2.5 trillion in market value was wiped out: • S&P 500: -$1.14 trillion • Nasdaq: -$1.11 trillion • Gold: -$1 trillion • Silver: -$280 billion • Bitcoin: -$80 billion It wasn’t isolated moves. Everything collapsed at once. It started with this morning’s jobs report: The US economy added 172,000 jobs in May, nearly double Wall Street’s expectation of 88,000. Normally, strong jobs data is good news. But with inflation at 3.8% and oil near $90, a hot labor market tells the Fed they cannot cut rates and might even need to hike them. The probability of a rate hike this year jumped from 40% to 57% in a single day. That triggered panic among investors holding tech and growth stocks, as higher rates mean heavier discounting of future earnings. Then the AI trade began to crack: Yesterday, Broadcom reported record earnings (revenue +48%, AI chip sales +143%), yet its stock still dropped 12.6%. Why? It didn’t raise its AI revenue guidance for the year. That single miss forced investors to finally ask the question they had been avoiding: Are we paying too much for AI stocks? That fear intensified today after research firm SemiAnalysis revealed that Nvidia’s next-gen AI chips will require significantly less memory than the market had assumed, roughly half of current pricing expectations. Memory chip makers were crushed: SK Hynix fell nearly 10%, Samsung dropped over 6%. South Korea’s entire stock market plunged 5.5% in one session, and Japanese semiconductor stocks were hit hard too. Adding fuel to the fire, Anthropic released a report warning that AI is approaching the point of self-improvement without human help, and called for a global pause on AI development. Underneath it all is a liquidity crunch no one is talking about: SpaceX is set to go public next week at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Anthropic just filed to IPO. OpenAI is next. These three alone are worth $4-5 trillion. Fund managers need cash to buy into these listings, but cash levels are at their lowest since early 2024. The only way to raise cash is to sell what they already own, and that selling is happening right now. On top of this, new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will hold his first policy meeting in 11 days. He was appointed by Trump with expectations of rate cuts. Now he’s walking into high inflation, high oil prices, and a red-hot labor market. Investors have no idea what he’ll do. When no one knows what the world’s most powerful central banker will decide in less than two weeks, the safest move is to reduce risk immediately.

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