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SpaceX is not pricing this IPO like it needs Wall Street’s permission. The company is planning to sell 555.6 million shares at $135, raising roughly $75 billion and targeting a valuation near $1.75 trillion. That headline number is massive, but it is not the most important part. The real tell is the process. This is not a normal IPO bookbuild. Most companies go out with a range, test demand, listen to institutions, adjust expectations, then price the deal. SpaceX is effectively saying: here is the number, decide if you want in. That is not fundraising behavior. That is market-power behavior. The roadshow starts with the price already on the table, with pricing expected June 11 and Nasdaq trading expected the next day. That changes the psychology of the deal. Investors are not being invited to help discover fair value. They are being asked to validate a value SpaceX has already chosen. The valuation is doing a lot of work. SpaceX posted $18.67 billion of revenue in 2025 and a $4.94 billion net loss, which puts the proposed valuation at roughly 90x revenue. That is not a cheap aerospace stock. It is not a normal satellite broadband stock. It is not even really being sold as a clean comp story, because there is no clean public comp for a business sitting across rockets, Starlink, defense, telecom, AI optionality, and Musk premium. The bull case is not “this screens well.” The bull case is that SpaceX becomes critical infrastructure. The bear case is simpler: even great companies can become bad trades when the entry price assumes too much future dominance upfront. The second-order read is the important one. If this deal clears on Musk’s terms, it tells every elite private company that the IPO market is open again, but only for names with enough scarcity and narrative control to bypass the usual negotiation. It also tells Wall Street something uncomfortable. In this deal, the banks are not setting the tone. The investors are not setting the tone. Musk is. Bottom line: SpaceX is not just testing demand for its stock. It is testing whether public markets will accept a take-it-or-leave-it valuation from the most powerful private company brand on the planet.

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