Time to reflect on the recent move down and why sharing analysis on this platform and actually executing on said analysis are two very different things. I'll walk you through my personal thought process as we approached our HTF supply zone which led into our correction. Let's take a look: The quoted tweet below was when we had reached our HTF supply zone- as previously stated, "the most likely place to see a rejection" on what was a clearly corrective rally up off of our 60k lows. However, at the time of tweeting, while we were at HTF supply, I mentioned that we were still seeing a "strong spot premium" and "negative funding"- both indications to support the idea that we were not seeing any substantiated weakness, yet. On the chart below, I have marked off when this actually changed. The green box shows PA during which we had relatively sustained negative funding, the red box shows PA during which funding flipped (and stayed) positive. However, you'll notice that even during the entire move up, we have "spurts" of positive funding throughout the negative funding regime. This means, that when the regime changed to one of primarily positive funding (red box) we couldn't immediately assume that it wasn't just a temporary change up, with more negative funding to follow. The same goes with our spot premium that we observed on the way up. In hindsight, and with the passage of more PA, it is now clear that our spot premium did in fact begin to dissipate as we moved lower (red arrow), and the positive funding also REMAINED rather than flipping back to negative. However at this point we were back inside the range, no longer at HTF supply, and we had left some LTF untapped "triple" swing highs that I had expected would be taken BEFORE a larger correction from our HTF supply zone. This is all to say- while a correction from HTF supply was expected at some point, I was personally unable to actually execute on this because I was looking for one more LTF push higher, deeper into supply, because the metrics I wanted to see a shift in didn't signal that shift until it was too late for me to position. It would have been far easier for me to simply say "expect a rejection at HTF supply" and leave it at that- and if I did exactly that and nothing else, CT would likely be applauding me right now- but since I am not here for applause and rather to educate, the focus is on all of the nuance that comes with actually executing on these moves- which typically requires a lot more than what meets the eye. As a trader you must not just consider your entry region (HTF supply), but also must define your risk, your target, your SL, etc, and in a HTF zone narrowing down all those factors can become quite challenging at times. In the end, I will take what I've seen here and add it to my mental library so that next time I may hopefully be better prepared to capitalize on this type of move in the future.

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