Short-term accumulation has begun. Summary Follow these steps: 1. As long as the price does not break below 79,620, it will remain above 81,000 and continue rising. 2. When the 1H candle closes above 81,250, the price will rise to 82,141. 3. When the 1H candle closes above 82,461, the price will break through 83,700. 4. If the candle closes above 83,700 without forming a long upper shadow, it will challenge 85,000 and even 85,400 (secondary target). Currently, this appears to be the most likely scenario. However, if any one of these steps encounters resistance, the entire progression may collapse. Review In the previous article, we stated that a candle closing above 81,800 signaled an uptrend. The actual price movement confirmed this: the candle closed above 81,800 and surged to 82,811 before retreating, failing to hold above 82,400. The reason? Heavy selling pressure at this level, combined with insufficient turnover within the short-seller liquidation zone of 82,141–82,461, and new selling pressure emerging—causing the price to pull back to absorb the excess supply. Next Steps Now, let’s analyze the price direction based on current trends. Trend Cost Band The short-term accumulation trend: upper band at 82,040, middle band at 82,828, lower band at 79,620. The current price is hovering above the middle band with an upward trend. This suggests that prior selling pressure is gradually being absorbed, and institutions are beginning to build a base and accumulate positions. A breakout above 82,040 triggers a stronger rally and transitions into distribution. Liquidation Zones The next major obstacle for an upward move lies in the short-term liquidation zone of 82,141–82,461. Although previously breached quickly, this area still holds significant short interest due to insufficient turnover. This time, the price will likely consolidate and rotate positions here; if successful, this zone will become strong support and propel the price toward 83,300 or even 85,000. The key support below lies in the short-seller turnover zone near 80,080. Intense Trading Zones After intense short-selling activity, longs have now entered aggressively. Their intent is clear: prevent the price from falling below 81,000—aligning perfectly with the accumulation phase. Order Vacuum After the last rally absorbed selling pressure between 81,730 and 82,400—filling a months-long order vacuum—a new sell-side vacuum formed between 81,248 and 81,934 as longs were pushed down. This zone now represents the primary resistance for this rally. Once broken, the price will target the smaller resistance zones at 83,292–83,382; beyond that, nothing stands in the way to 85,400. Expected Indicators: Short-term expected returns point toward ~82,800, with a potential extreme near 85,000. Given current market sentiment, reaching this extreme is highly plausible. The maximum possible washout depth is estimated at 78,611—unlikely to be reached. Chain Reaction Liquidation Zones: One key target is the short liquidation cluster at 82,882. Retail stop-loss clusters at 82,765–82,900 and near 83,700 also serve as fuel zones; once breached, price momentum will surge higher. Overall Summary: First, examine support levels: accumulation order wall at 80,863; medium-term liquidation zone at 80,083–79,764; accumulation floor at 79,620; maximum washout level at 78,611. Combined with aggressive long positioning—the bulls have clearly set their goal: keep price above 81,000. As long as no major resistance emerges, the lowest possible price should be near the accumulation wall at 80,863. A decisive break below 79,620 would signal a breakdown of the healthy uptrend; subsequent highs would likely not exceed 82,800. Now look upward: A breakout above the trend upper band at 82,040 triggers rapid upside momentum—but faces resistance from the sell-side vacuum between 81,248 and 81,934. The same confirmation signal applies: if the 1H candle closes above 81,250, bulls will be determined to conquer this zone. Once secured, price will align with the upper trend band and begin accelerating upward into distribution. The first major challenge in distribution remains full turnover in the 82,141–82,461 zone—confirmed when the 1H candle closes above 82,461. After successful turnover, price will surge toward 82,765, 82,882, 82,900, and 83,700—and potentially test 85,000. Note: Two critical levels: First: The trend health level at 79,620. As long as it holds, the planned rally proceeds. If broken, institutions will either attempt to recover it before exiting at higher levels—or abandon it entirely and dump aggressively—triggering a sharp decline. Second: The continuation trigger—two conditions must be met: (1) a 1H candle closing above 81,250 and (2) a subsequent 1H candle closing above 82,461. If both occur, price will break through at least 83,700.