#FOMC #InterestRates #Macro 📊 #FED Update: Many still don’t realize—it’s the market that sets interest rates, not the Fed alone. While the Fed sets the target range, what truly matters is how the market prices in future rate movements through money markets, bills, and yields. The next Fed meeting is scheduled for April 28–29, 2026. The current Fed target range is 3.50% to 3.75%. The effective Fed Funds Rate (EFFR) most recently stood at 3.64%, very close to the current midpoint of the target range. My FED Rates Dashboard currently shows the following probabilities for the next meeting: Hold: 80.6% Cut 25 bps: 9.5% Hike 25 bps: 9.7% Important note: This is a HOUSE calculation from my internal model—not an official Fed projection, but an independent analysis based on yield curve dynamics, money market data, and market pricing signals. The key takeaway remains clear: The market is currently pricing in primarily a Hold scenario. No aggressive pricing of rapid cuts. But also no clear signal of an imminent new hiking cycle. That’s precisely why it’s so crucial to look beyond headlines and focus on what the market is actually pricing in. Let’s go 💪 KNOWLEDGE IS WEALTH. RECOGNIZE TRENDS. ACT WITH FORESIGHT. TSC | Trend Serra Capital.